SitNews - Stories in the News - Ketchikan, Alaska

Dunleavy and Begich just a few points apart

Results of the fourth independent tracking poll in our series show Dunleavy still in the lead but Begich catching up fast

 

 

October 23, 2018
Tuesday PM


(SitNews) Anchorage, Alaska - With just two weeks to go until the General Election, the Ivan Moore Alaska Survey Research's fourth independent tracking survey of likely Alaska voters conducted October 19-22 shows Senator Mike Dunleavy with a much reduced lead since the exit of Governor Bill Walker from the race. Democrat Mark Begich shows a substantially improved approval positive-negative rating, now that he has become the de facto challenger to Dunleavy.

The Survey asked the race question two ways. In the first scenario, Governor Walker withdraws and endorses Begich:

Mike Dunleavy 48.3%
Mark Begich 43.7%
Bill Walker 5.3%
Undecided 2.7%

In the second scenario, Governor Walker withdraws, endorses Begich, and then plays an active role in his campaign, including “making appearances at events and in advertising, talking particularly about continuing his work promoting gasline issues”:

Mike Dunleavy 50.6%
Mark Begich 44.1%
Bill Walker 2.4%
Undecided 2.9%

DISCLOSURE: This Ivan Moore Alaska Survey Research series is being funded by a consortium of varied interests, all of whom wish to see comprehensive, publicly-released tracking data on the Governor’s race through to the election. Parties in the consortium are supportive of multiple candidates in the race. No funding has been or will be accepted from any of the three campaigns. Alaska Survey Research is doing no work for any of the three campaigns during this election season.

 

On the Web:

The following pdf survey report contains methodological detail, question wording, positive-negative ratings for the three candidates, the results of the three-way race plus demographics and a comprehensive crosstab section.

Alaska Likely Voter Opinion Survey - October 19-22, 2018 (pdf)

10/23/18 Tracker 1 - Tracker 4 Survey Results (pdf)

 

 

Editing by Mary Kauffman, SitNews

 

 

 

Source of News:

Ivan Moore Alaska Survey Research
www.ivanmooreresearch.com

 

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