Summer's over for northern
By NED ROZELL
September 17, 2010
On or within a few days of September
15, sea ice experts will make the call declaring that sea ice
floating on northern oceans is covering its least amount of ocean
surface in 2010. The great northern winter is about to
begin, and sea ice will soon be growing instead of shrinking.
"It's the turn of a new season, like the beginning of a
new semester," said Mark Serreze, director of the National
Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo.
Yellow lines on this
mosaic of satellite images show possible sailing routes through
the Northwest Passage in early September 2010.
Image courtesy of the Canadian Ice Service, copyright MacDonald,
Dettwiler and Associates Ltd. 2010.
Serreze estimated that 2010 would rank third on the list of years
with the lowest sea ice extent at the end of the northern summer.
Since the satellite era allowed a view from above since the late
1970s, the technology has show that 2007 was the record low year
of sea-ice extent, followed by 2008 and 2010. Last fall, the
arctic sea ice was a bit more widespread than this year.
"The four lowest extents in September have been in the past
four years," Serreze said.
This year might have been a good one to attempt to sail through
the Northwest Passage, a feat first completed by Norwegian Roald
Amundsen in the early 1900s.
"The Northwest Passage has been navigable in the past, but
it's fairly unusual this year," said Jenny Hutchings of
the International Arctic Research Center at the University of
Alaska Fairbanks. "There's a large area of open water in
the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, and north of Svalbard there's
lower ice concentration than normal. Icebreakers have been getting
pretty far north this year."
"The northern route is really open this year," Serreze
said, referring to a somewhat clear big-ship pathway including
M'Clure Strait north of Banks Island in arctic Canada. "The
last time we saw that was in 2007. You could, in a sense, circumnavigate
the Arctic right now . . . But only for a few more weeks."
Though it may be a bit easier now then when Amundsen took several
years to navigate the route, sailing the Northwest Passage is
still an adventure, Serreze said.
"We're still talking about dangerous waters up there,"
Serreze said. "It's not like you're going to take a cruise
ship up there at 15 knots.
"Even a little ice could be a problem," he said. "A
vessel hitting a three-meter chunk of sea ice would sustain a
lot of damage."
Due to the northern portion of the planet's nod away from the
sun, sea ice will soon feed on cold air, and close for another
year the hazardous pathways of late summer. Sea ice will grow
throughout autumn and winter, reaching its maximum in about the
middle of March, when the sun will again gain a foothold in the
Serreze expects northern sea ice to continue its decline. With
less sea ice, open ocean will absorb more of the sun's energy
and the far north will retain more heat.
"(Fading sea ice) is contributing quite strongly to arctic
warming," Serreze said.
This column is provided
as a public service by the Geophysical Institute, University
of Alaska Fairbanks, in cooperation with the UAF research community.
Ned Rozell [email@example.com]
is a science writer at the institute.
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