January 31, 2007
Sixty-seven percent of those polled believe Bush's decisions about policy in Iraq and other major areas are influenced more by his personal beliefs regardless of the facts, while just 22 percent say his decisions are influenced more by the facts. And 71 percent say Bush will not have enough support over the next two years to make a difference in getting things done in Washington; just 21 percent say he will. The public is split on whether or not Congress is likely (42%) or not likely (48%) to give serious consideration to the proposals Bush made in the State of the Union address about energy, health and other domestic policy.
Fifty-three percent of all those polled say they think history will see Bush as a below average president; 30 percent say average and 14 percent say above average. And 58 percent of all those polled say at this point in time, they personally wish that Bush's presidency was over; 37 percent do not feel that way.
In deciding whether to vote Democratic or Republican in the 2008 presidential election, among registered voters, 31 percent say their view of Bush will be very important; 17 percent say it will be somewhat important and 15 percent say not too important.
Looking ahead to the 2008 presidential election, 49 percent of registered voters say they'd rather see a Democrat elected as our next president in 2008; 28 percent say they'd rather see a Republican, the poll shows. And in potential match-ups, the top candidates still polled very closely among registered voters. With the margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points, some of the match-ups are statistical dead heats.
In a potential match-up between Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican John McCain, Clinton beats McCain 50-44 percent, among registered voters. Democrat Barack Obama beats McCain, 48-42 percent and Democrat John Edwards beats McCain 48-44 percent, the poll shows. In match-ups between the Democratic candidates and Rudy Giuliani, the races are even closer: 49 percent chose Clinton v. 46 percent for Giuliani; 47 percent for Obama v. 44 percent for Giuliani; and 46 percent for Edwards v. 47 percent for Giuliani.
Clinton also does well against Republican Mitt Romney: 56 percent v. 37 percent, the poll shows. As do Obama (56% v. 30% for Romney) and Edwards (60% v. 26% for Romney). All results are among registered voters.
In choosing the Democratic presidential candidate, 55 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic leaners say they'd most like to see Clinton nominated; 35 percent say Obama. In a choice between Clinton and Edwards, 62 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic leaners say they'd most like to see Clinton nominated v. 29 percent who'd choose Edwards, the poll shows. If the choice were between Obama and Edwards, 46 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic leaners would choose Obama; 39 percent would choose Edwards.
On the Republican ticket, in a choice between McCain and Giuliani, 48 percent of registered Republicans and Republican leaners would like to see Giuliani nominated v. 44 percent who would choose McCain; between McCain and Romney: 69 percent for McCain v. 19 percent for Romney and between Giuliani and Romney, 72 percent for Giuliani and 17 percent for Romney, the poll shows.
For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,003 adults, aged 18 and over on January 24-25, 2007. The margin of error is plus or minus four percentage points. This poll is part of the February 5th issue of Newsweek (on newsstands Monday, January 29).
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